Tiptoeing back to work

As the government starts easing some restrictions to try and get people back to work the danger of a spike in new Covid-19 infections is very real. This means it will take some time. On both sides of the Atlantic progress in getting back to work is slow and patchy. This is not going to … Continue reading “Tiptoeing back to work”

Looking back at the markets through April

A selection of articles looking back through the markets last month. Global Market Review Painful consequences Following March’s collapse in share prices, global stock markets made a partial recovery in April, although most major indices still sustained double-digit losses compared with the start of the year. As the coronavirus pandemic continued to cut a swathe … Continue reading “Looking back at the markets through April”

Looking back at the markets through February

A selection of articles looking back through the markets last month. Global Market Review Investors take fright as coronavirus takes hold As the spread of coronavirus gathered pace across the world during February, investors became increasingly concerned that the economic impact could trigger a global recession.  “Central banks are coming under pressure to respond to … Continue reading “Looking back at the markets through February”

The biggest winner from coronavirus is Donald Trump

It should come as a surprise to no-one that the figures from China about coronavirus infections and deaths have been massaged to make them look better. As the crisis in Xi Jinping’s government from his mishandling of the situation mounts, the biggest winner is now becoming clear. It’s looking more and more likely that Donald … Continue reading “The biggest winner from coronavirus is Donald Trump”

Looking back at the markets through January

A selection of articles looking back through the markets last month. Global Market Review Coronavirus hits investor sentiment Investor sentiment was initially buoyed in January as the US and China signed their interim trade deal, driving US share indices to new all-time highs. However, major global equity markets ultimately ended the month in negative territory … Continue reading “Looking back at the markets through January”

The US-EU economic battle

Donald Trump spoke out at Davos, condemning the people he called the “perennial prophets of doom” for forecasting climate and other disasters. He said they “are the heirs of yesterday’s foolish fortune tellers. They want us to do badly”. He did not name the EU or individual European countries, but the implication was clear. His … Continue reading “The US-EU economic battle”

Markets are due a pause for breath

Shares continue to rocket, with equity market gains in 2020 impressive. But can this performance continue?  After the party comes the hangover. The risk-on rally in equities that started at the end of September looks overdue for a pause – and any correction following the recent melt-up would be pretty healthy. For investors becoming concerned … Continue reading “Markets are due a pause for breath”

How good is the US-China trade deal?

When the world’s two largest economies and powers sit down to talk, the world waits to learn what they have agreed. The document signed by the US and China this week is an unusual international agreement, as it has no reference to independent arbitration and little external reference to world bodies, mentioning the IMF on … Continue reading “How good is the US-China trade deal?”

Looking back at the markets through December

A selection of articles looking back through the markets last month. Global Market Review Double-digit gains in 2019 Despite a year that was filled with political and social upheaval – from the trade war between the US and China, through Brexit, to the civil unrest in Hong Kong – many world markets achieved double-digit gains … Continue reading “Looking back at the markets through December”

The biggest victim of US tariffs in 2020 could be the EU

The tariff battle between Washington and Beijing is far from over, but the biggest battle for US trade hawks over the next 12 months is likely to be with Europe. The global trade slowdown has already hit the European economy hard. Brussels has been forced to cut its growth forecasts for the eurozone to its … Continue reading “The biggest victim of US tariffs in 2020 could be the EU”

The impact of US foreign policy on markets

Trade restrictions and tariffs are the main response of the Trump administration to foreign disagreements, but there are some positives too. Donald Trump moves markets. He watches them regularly and tries to influence them by what he says and what he does. He sees a rising US share market as proof that he is making … Continue reading “The impact of US foreign policy on markets”

Looking back at the markets through August

A selection of articles looking back through the markets last month. Global Market Review Parliament’s suspension creates controversy The prospect of a no-deal Brexit crept closer during August as Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced that Parliament would be suspended shortly after MPs return from their summer break until the Queen’s Speech on 14 October. The … Continue reading “Looking back at the markets through August”

The G7 solves nothing

The meeting of leaders over the weekend in Biarritz led to US President Donald Trump’s tweet suggesting there could be more trade talks with China after all. It was sufficient for a modest rally, after the tariff-induced sell off last week. The markets remain fixated by the twin stories of possible rate cuts to come, … Continue reading “The G7 solves nothing”

Looking back at the markets through July

A selection of articles looking back through the markets last month.   Global market review Possibility of “no deal” moves closer Boris Johnson beat Jeremy Hunt during July to become the new leader of the Conservative Party and the UK’s new Prime Minister. The new Government’s harder-line approach to Brexit – and the increased prospect … Continue reading “Looking back at the markets through July”

There’ll be no swift resolution to this trade war

As Donald Trump threatens to put tariffs on all imports from China and Beijing tells its state-owned organisations to stop importing US agricultural products, the trade war looks set to drag on. At the end of last week’s trade talks between the US and China, there were no signs of a breakthrough. Beijing made a … Continue reading “There’ll be no swift resolution to this trade war”