Market Turbulence

Market falls never feel pleasant, but for those with long-term investment horizons there is no need to panic. Fluctuations, sometimes significant ones, are to be expected during the course of investing; and for those requiring the assurance of no fall in capital the only asset class that can be considered is cash. This is the … Continue reading “Market Turbulence”

It’s Oh So Quiet…

Here are the key factors that Whitechurch Securities believe have influenced investment markets in recent weeks. Markets rose early in June only to fall back towards the end of the month as Central bankers took the limelight from politicians and investors moved into more of a risk-off mode. The Federal Reserve spooked investors with fears … Continue reading “It’s Oh So Quiet…”

War of Words

Global stockmarkets suffered another month of losses in March, with investors becoming unnerved by the potential fallout of an impending trade war. This has been instigated by President Trump expressing an intention to impose tariffs across a wide range of imports, with China the prime target. Given there tends to be no winners in a … Continue reading “War of Words”

Investors dump equity in favour of safe havens

Government bonds received a boost in demand last month as investors’ risk appetite was tested by volatility in equity markets. This risk-off attitude proved negative for corporate bonds, however. The looming threat of a trade war between the US and China sent shockwaves throughout equity markets last month, as investors braced for the impact of … Continue reading “Investors dump equity in favour of safe havens”

Bad news and good news for markets

Woes have come together in recent days for share markets. As if Mr Trump’s threats of a trade war were not enough, the President has now joined with others in criticising the business model and tax charges of some leading tech companies. After months of leadership by Nasdaq we saw the tech index falling as … Continue reading “Bad news and good news for markets”

A spot of turbulence

Global markets hit a rough patch in early February. Equity markets sold off, commodities softened, credit spreads widened and capital flowed out of emerging markets as volatility bounced back sharply. There have been a range of explanations offered for this dislocation, from jitters over rising inflation to concerns that rising term premia could snuff out … Continue reading “A spot of turbulence”

What Goes Up…

Some investors may be shocked that stockmarkets can go down considering the extended bull run we have seen in financial markets over the last couple of years. However, given that, as we write, major benchmark market indices are generally showing a decline of around 5% (in local currency terms) for the month; in context, this … Continue reading “What Goes Up…”

A healthy correction?

The phrase “healthy correction” is one of the most frequently used in the investment lexicon. It has been ubiquitous over the past few days as a descriptor of the significant falls in global markets. It is also a phrase that has puzzled me over the years. As to “healthy”? Falls of over 4% in a … Continue reading “A healthy correction?”

After the melt up

In January we saw shares rising rapidly, in what some called a melt up. In the last few days they have come back down again very quickly. The year’s gains were rapidly erased. Should we worry? Last week before the fall I wrote that “There will be bad times from time to time. Worrying about … Continue reading “After the melt up”

Farewell to 2017

Is it better to travel than to arrive?  The US share market has done well this year.  It has been in fitful anticipation of tax cuts to come.  As the old year draws to a close the tax cuts have as we expected taken legislative form. The US growth rate has risen, exceeding 3% as … Continue reading “Farewell to 2017”

Will it be smooth sailing for markets until the end of the year?

Schroders Keith Wade & Aymeric Forest look at whether equities can sustain their stellar run in view of the coming reduction in central bank liquidity, geopolitical tensions, currency moves and stretched valuations? Equities underpinned by solid synchronised global growth The global economy is on a firm and synchronised upward trajectory, which is increasingly industrial-led and underpinned … Continue reading “Will it be smooth sailing for markets until the end of the year?”

Back to Basics: Investing is a long term game

Believing that ‘now’ is the most difficult point in history to make sense of markets is one of the biases which investment professionals can pick up from their extreme proximity to the volatility, uncertainty and surprise that go with investing money. The cure to these jitters is just to step back and review some of … Continue reading “Back to Basics: Investing is a long term game”

Bitcoin – instant riches?

Bitcoin is in the news. If you had bought some of this crypto currency at outset you could now cash in a very large profit. Some think that if you bought it at today’s elevated level you could still be in time to make a large profit going forward. It is not something Charles Stanley … Continue reading “Bitcoin – instant riches?”

How will central bank tightening affect emerging market bonds?

Investors are worried; they’re hearing noises from the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank about reducing balance sheets and hiking rates. They are wondering whether that will have an impact on emerging markets and on Asian bonds. In the past, they’ve been right to worry. Generally, when central banks start tightening, it does … Continue reading “How will central bank tightening affect emerging market bonds?”

Global liquidity and emerging markets

Emerging markets have benefited from an extremely accommodative environment but global liquidity conditions are becoming less easy than they used to be. Today we find ourselves in a world where central banks are reviewing their unconventional stimulus measures. The European Central Bank (ECB) is discussing tapering quantitative easing (QE) while the Federal Reserve (Fed) is … Continue reading “Global liquidity and emerging markets”